Seeing what's next: using the theories of innovation to predict industry change

Introduction

How to use theory to analyze

1. Signals of change; where are the opportunities?

2. Competitive battles: how to size up competitors

3. Firm choices: identifying what choices matter

4. Non-market factors influence innovation

Theory-based analysis

5. Disruptive diplomas - the future of education

6. Disruption spreads its wings - the future of aviation

7. Whither Moore's law? - the future of semiconductors

8. Healing the 800-pound gorilla - the future of health care

9. Innovation overseas - using theory to assess corporate and country strategies

10. Breaking the wire - the future of telecommunications

Conclusion: What's next.